Progress M-14M on the way to the International Space Station

Soyuz Progress
Soyuz Progress M-14M Ignition
Image Credit: NASA TV

The Progress M-14M launched successfully at 4:06 PM Phoenix time (23:06 UTC) from the Baikonur facility in Kazakhstan. All three stages function normally. Concern centered around the third stage, which failed during the launch of M-12M in August.

The spacecraft is scheduled to dock on Friday at 5:08 PM Phoenix time (Saturday 00:08 UTC). NASA-TV will cover the docking to the Piers module beginning at 4:30 PM Phoenix time (23:30 UTC).

Progress M-14M Ready for Launch

Soyuz Progress
Soyuz Progress Resupply Mission Prepared for Launch
Image Credit: Roscosmos

Russia is preparing to launch the latest Progress resupply mission to the International Space Station. The schedule calls for the Progress M-14M to be launched tomorrow, Wednesday, 25 January at 4:06 PM Phoenix time (23:06 UTC) from the Baikonur facility in Kazakhstan.

The mission will deliver 2669 kilograms (about 5870 pounds) of supplies:

  • 933 kg of propellant
  • 50 kg of oxygen
  • 421 kg of water
  • 1265 kg of spare parts, maintenance items and experiment hardware.

NASA-TV will cover the launch beginning at 3:45 PM Phoenix time (22:45 UTC).

The spacecraft is scheduled to dock on Friday at 5:08 PM Phoenix time (Saturday 00:08 UTC). NASA-TV will cover the docking to the Piers module beginning at 4:30 PM Phoenix time (23:30 UTC).

SpaceX Slips Dragon Launch to ISS

SpaceX announced that it will slip the launch of the Dragon spacecraft aboard a Falcon 9 from the original 7 February 2012 date. The specific reason for the delay was not specified, but was related to a “sense of responsibility in returning US crewed access to LEO”.

NASASpaceFlight notes that SpaceX was slipping in order to allow for due diligence “safety checks” ahead of launch.

It is expected that the slip will only be two to three weeks.

Updated 20 January:

If the delay is longer, then the ISS crew will be reduced to three (3) when Soyuz TMA-22 undocks on 16 March. Two astronauts are required to grapple and dock Dragon. TMA-04M is scheduled to arrive on 1 April, restoring the ISS crew to six (6). Most of April is clear of activity, assuming SpaceX can be ready by then.

Fobos-Grunt Re-enters Earth’s Atmosphere

The Russian Fobos-Grunt spacecraft, launched aboard a two-stage Zenit-2 rocket on 9 November 2011 from the Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan, was planned to travel to the Martian moon Phobos, gather samples, and return to Earth. Instead, the rocket motor failed to ignite, and the probe was stranded in orbit.

The Russian Defense Ministry reported that the spacecraft re-entered over the southern Pacific ocean around 10:45 AM Phoenix time on Sunday, 15 January (1745 UTC). The site was 775 miles west of Wellington Island off the coast of Southern Chile. There have been no reports of sightings.

More Planets than Stars – But Axial Tilt is the Key to Life

Planets
There is an average of more than one planet per star in the Milky Way
Image Credit: NASA / ESA / ESO

With the forthcoming publication in the journal Nature on 12 January, it is estimated that there are more than 100 billion planets in our Milky Way galaxy. That means more than one planet per star, and results show that there are more rocky small Earth-like planets than giant Jupiter-size gas planets.

Most recent discoveries have come from the Kepler Observatory using transit observations. Some of the earliest confirmation of gas giants came from radial velocity Doppler observations.

The conclusions in the Nature article are based on micro-lensing studies.

Recent results from the Kepler Observatory have shown the existence of three small, rocky planets around the star KOI-961, a red dwarf. These three planets, named KOI-961.01, KOI-961.02 and KOI-961.03, are 0.78, 0.73 and 0.57 times the radius of Earth. The smallest is about the size of Mars (see below). Follow-up observations were made by the Palomar Observatory, near San Diego, and the Keck Observatory atop Mauna Kea in Hawaii.

KOI-961
Relative size of the three rocky planets around KOI-961
Image Credit: NASA / JPL-Caltech

Since it is now clear that rocky planets exist around millions, if not billions, of stars, the question arises as to whether there is life on them, and whether it may resemble life on Earth.

Whether a planet exists in the “Goldilocks” region around a star depends on many factors. Three factors include the type of star, how far away from the star the planet resides and the atmospheric pressure of the planet. A red dwarf, such as Gliese 581, means the planet has to be closer than the Earth to our Sun. A white hot star means the planet has to be farther away. And if the atmosphere is low, like Mars, or to high, like Venus, liquid water is not likely.

A fourth factor is axial tilt. If a planet has no axial tilt (the spin axis is perpendicular to the plane of its orbit around the star) then the polar regions freeze and the equatorial regions bake. There is little exchange between these regions due to atmospheric circulation. Axial tilt, such as the Earth has, allows distribution of heat between the equator and the poles.

Even if a planet has axial tilt, a recent study shows that interaction at a close distance (within the “Goldilocks” region) with red dwarf will eliminate axial tilt in less than 100 million years. Bacteria on Earth required 1,000 million years to evolve. Theoretically, a planet with no axial tilt could possess bands between the equator and the poles where liquid water would exist. But, it is quite possible the atmosphere would collapse, with gases being driven off into space at the very hot equator, and freezing solid on the ground at the poles. Such a possibility faces the planets around KOI 961.

Systems with stars like our Sun present better possibilities. The “Goldilocks” conditions exist much farther out, and axial tilt is eliminated much more slowly, as our Earth is witness. Systems such as Kepler-22b are good candidates.

The conclusion drawn from these studies is that systems similar to our Solar System present the best opportunities for life.

Curiosity Midcourse Maneuver 11 January 2012

The Mars Science Laboratory (MSL), Curiosity, is scheduled to begin a 175 minute firing involving all eight (8) of its thrusters at 4 PM Phoenix time (2300 UTC) today. This will be the biggest maneuver that the MSL spacecraft will perform during the cruise phase to Mars.

The thruster firing is design to change the velocity by 5.5 meters per second, and will bring the spacecraft back on course toward a landing in Gale Crater. The original trajectory was established in order to send the Centaur upper stage safely past Mars, as the upper stage was not sterilized.

Curiosity was launch aboard an Atlas V 541 rocket on 26 November 2011 at 1502 UTC, and is scheduled to land on Mars on 6 August 2012.

Additional information on this maneuver will be added here as events unfold.

From Twitter: https://twitter.com/#!/MarsCuriosity/status/157240197828984832

VROOM! I’ve begun firing thruster engines for my 1st & largest flight-path adjustment of the trip to Mars: http://t.co/x7GWfOyV

Follow Curiosity and JPL on Twitter.

With the start of thrusting reported by JPL around 4:10 PM Phoenix time (2310 UTC), we should hear from JPL after 7:10 PM (0210 UTC 12 January) about termination. It will take a bit more to confirm the new trajectory.

At 8 PM Phoenix time we had this twitter from Curiosity:

Today’s maneuver involved firing the thrusters 200 times in 5-second bursts over 160 mins. Speed also increased by 12.3 mph.

And this press release from NASA and JPL:

NASA’s Mars Science Laboratory spacecraft successfully refined its flight path Wednesday with the biggest maneuver planned for the mission’s journey between Earth and Mars.

“We’ve completed a big step toward our encounter with Mars,” said Brian Portock of NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif., deputy mission manager for the cruise phase of the mission. “The telemetry from the spacecraft and the Doppler data show that the maneuver was completed as planned.”

The Mars Science Laboratory mission will use its car-size rover, Curiosity, to investigate whether the selected region on Mars inside Gale Crater has offered environmental conditions favorable for supporting microbial life and favorable for preserving clues about whether life existed.

Engineers had planned today’s three-hour series of thruster-engine firings to accomplish two aims: to put the spacecraft’s trajectory about 25,000 miles (about 40,000 kilometers) closer to encountering Mars and to advance the time of the encounter by about 14 hours, compared with the trajectory following the mission’s Nov. 26, 2011, launch.

“The timing of the encounter is important for arriving at Mars just when the planet’s rotation puts Gale Crater in the right place,” said JPL’s Tomas Martin-Mur, chief navigator for the mission.

The mission’s second trajectory correction maneuver, expected to be about one-sixth the magnitude of this first one, is scheduled for March 26. Up to four additional opportunities for fine-tuning, as needed, are scheduled before the arrival at Mars on Aug. 5, 2012, PDT (Aug. 6, EDT and Universal Time).

The spacecraft’s initial trajectory resulting from the launch included an intentional offset to prevent the upper stage of the launch vehicle from hitting Mars. That upper stage was not cleaned the way the spacecraft itself was to protect Mars from Earth’s microbes.

The Mars Science Laboratory spacecraft rotates in flight at about two revolutions per minute. Today’s maneuver included two different components: one that changed velocity in the direction of the axis of the spacecraft’s rotation, and one that changed velocity in a direction perpendicular to that.

The maneuver used the eight thruster engines on the cruise stage of the spacecraft, grouped into two sets of four. It began with a thrust lasting about 19 minutes, using just one thruster in each set and affecting velocity along the direction of the axis of rotation. Then, to affect velocity perpendicular to that line, each set of thrusters was fired for 5 seconds when the rotation put that set facing the proper direction. These 5-second bursts were repeated more than 200 times during a period of about two hours for a total of about 40 minutes.

The maneuver was calculated to produce a net change in velocity of about 12.3 miles per hour (5.5 meters per second), combining a slight increase in speed with a small change in direction of travel.

As of 9 a.m. PST (noon EST) on Thursday, Jan. 12, the spacecraft will have traveled 81.2 million miles (130.6 million kilometers) of its 352-million-mile (567-million-kilometer) flight to Mars. It will be moving at about 10,300 mph (16,600 kilometers per hour) relative to Earth, and at about 68,700 mph (110,500 kilometers per hour) relative to the sun.

Curiosity
Curiosity at 00:00 UTC on 2012_01_11
Image Credit: NASA / JPL-Caltech / UCLA

ZiYuan III Satellite Launch by China

LongMarch 4B
ZiYuan III Launch aboard the Chinese Long March 4B
Image Credit: Xinhua

China launched its first satellite of the year on 9 January at 0317 UTC. The satellite was placed in orbit by a Long March 4B (Chang Zheng-4B -Y26) rocket, from the Taiyuan Satellite Launch Center in China.

The ZiYuan-3 (ZY-3) satellite is a high-resolution geological mapping satellite. Instruments include an infrared multispectral scanner (IRMSS), and three high resolution panchromatic cameras. Monitoring will include land resources and water conservation. Other tasks include urban planning, support of farming programs and reduction in the impact of natural disasters.

The satellite will orbit in a 505.984 km sun-synchronous solar orbit with 97.421 degree inclination. This orbit will have a re-visit cycle of 5 days. Surveys will run from 84 degrees north and 84 degrees south latitude.

GRAIL A and B Settle Into Lunar Orbit

GRAIL-B
GRAIL-B Breaking into Lunar Orbit
Image Credit: NASA / JPL-Caltech

NASA successfully placed the second GRAIL (Gravity Recovery And Interior Laboratory) spacecraft in orbit around the Moon on Sunday, 1 January. GRAIL-B entered orbit at 3:43 PM Phoenix time (2243 UTC). GRAIL-A achieved orbit the previous day at 3:00 PM Phoenix time (2200 UTC).

Launch Schedule – United States 2012

Here is the current calendar for 2012 for United States satellites and rocket launch vehicles as listed on the Forum at NASASpaceFlight on 9 December 2012:

2012

  • Complete
  • 20 January, 0038 UTC – WGS-4 – Delta IV-M+(5,4) – Canaveral SLC-37B
  • February 24, 2217 UTC – MUOS-1 – Atlas V 551 – Canaveral SLC-41
  • April 3, 2312 UTC – NRO L-25 – Delta IV-M+(5,2) – Vandenberg SLC-6
  • May 4, 1846 UTC – AEHF-2 – Atlas V 531 – Canaveral SLC-41
  • May 22 – Dragon COTS 2&3 – Falcon 9 – Canaveral SLC-40 – 0744 UTC
  • June 13 – NuSTAR – Pegasus-XL – Kwajalein L-1011 “Stargazer” – 1600 UTC
  • June 20 – NRO L-38 – Atlas V 401 – Canaveral SLC-41 – 12:28
  • June 29 – NRO L-15 – Delta IV-H – Canaveral SLC-37B – 13:15
  • August 30 – RBSP (x2) – Atlas V 401 – Canaveral SLC-41 – 08:05:27.029
  • September 13 – NRO L-36(NOSS-3 6A, NOSS-3 6B), Aeneas, SMDC-ONE 2.1 (Able), SMDC-ONE 2.2 (Baker), Re, CINEMA 1, CSSWE, CXBN, AeroCube 4A, AeroCube 4B, AeroCube 4C, CP 5 – Atlas V 401 – Vandenberg SLC-3E – 21:39
  • October 4 – GPS IIF-3 – Delta-IV-M+(4,2) – Canaveral SLC-37B – 12:10:00.242
  • October 8 – Dragon CRS1, Orbcomm 2G – Falcon 9 v1.0 – Canaveral SLC-40 – 00:35:07
  • 11 December (NET) – X-37B OTV-3 – Atlas V 501 – Canaveral SLC-41 – 18:03
  • Upcoming

2013

  • January 18 – WGS-5 – Delta IV-M+(5,4) – Canaveral SLC-37B
  • January – TDRS-K – Atlas V 401 – Canaveral SLC-41
  • NET February 11 – LDCM (Landsat 8 ) – Atlas V 401 – Vandenberg SLC-3E – 18:04
  • March 1 – Dragon CRS2, CUSat 1&2 – Falcon 9 v1.0 – Canaveral SLC-40
  • March – SBIRS-GEO 2 – Atlas V 401 – Canaveral SLC-41
  • April 5 – Cygnus COTS Demo – Antares-110 – MARS LP-0A
  • NET February 27 April 29 – IRIS (SMEX-12) – Pegasus XL – Vandenberg, L-1011 “Stargazer”
  • April – Cassiope, POPACS (x6) (TBD) – Falcon 9 v1.1 – Vandenberg SLC-4E
  • May – GeoEye-2, TBD? – Atlas V 401 – Vandenberg SLC-3E (or 2017)
  • May – GPS IIF-4 – Atlas V 401 – Canaveral SLC-41
  • June – WGS-6 – Delta IV-M+(5,4) – Canaveral SLC-37B
  • June – SES-8 – Falcon 9 v1.1 – Canaveral SLC-40 (or Ariane 5ECA)
  • midyear – GPS IIF-5 – Delta IV-M+(4,2) – Canaveral SLC-37B
  • July – MUOS-2 – Atlas V 551 – Canaveral SLC-41
  • August 12 – LADEE – Minotaur V – MARS LP-0B
  • August 13 – Cygnus CRS1 – Antares-120 – MARS LP-0A
  • August – NRO L-65 – Delta IV-H – Vandenberg SLC-6
  • August – ORS 3, STPSat 3, ORSES, ORS Tech 1, ORS Tech 2, Prometheus 1, Prometheus 2, Prometheus 3, Prometheus 4, SENSE 1, SENSE 2, Firefly, STARE B (Horus), NPS-SCAT, CSIP, Rampart, CAPE 2, KYSat 2, Lunar Orbiter&Lander CubeSat, SwampSat, Black Night 1, SPA-1 Trailblazer, TetherSat, DragonSat 1, Copper-Cube, PhoneSat 2.0 – Minotaur I – MARS LP-0B
  • midyear – Orbcomm 2G (x8) – Falcon 9 v1.1 – Canaveral SLC-40
  • September 30 – Dragon CRS3, CUNYSAT 1, Hermes 2, LMRSat, TechCube 1, All-Star-THEIA, FIREBIRD 1, FIREBIRD 2, Ho‘oponopono 2 – Falcon 9 v1.1 – Canaveral SLC-40
  • Fall – Kumu A’o – SPARK/Super Strypi – Kauai Test Facility (KTF) PMRF 41
  • NET September – ORS-4, HiakaSat-1/HawaiiSat 1, EDSN 1, EDSN 2, EDSN 3, EDSN 5, EDSN 6, EDSN 7, EDSN 8, cubesats (TBD) – SPARK/Super Strypi – Kauai Test Facility (KTF) PMRF 41
  • September – AEHF-3 – Atlas V 531 – Canaveral SLC-41
  • 2nd half – GPS IIF-6 – Atlas V 401 – Canaveral SLC-41
  • 2nd half – Thaicom 6 – Falcon 9 v1.1 – Canaveral SLC-40
  • November 18 – MAVEN – Atlas V 401 – Canaveral
  • August 6 (TBD) December 8 – Cygnus CRS2 – Antares-120 – MARS LP-0A
  • December – FORMOSAT 5 – Falcon 9 v1.1 – Vandenberg SLC-4E
  • TBD – NRO L-35 – Atlas V 531 – Vandenberg SLC-3E

For details on some of the NASA launches, see the NASA Launch Schedule or here. Additional launch schedules can be seen at Space.com.

Updated 31 December 2012

2011 Launches

Launch Schedule – European Space Agency 2012

Here is the current calendar for 2012 for the European Space Agency (ESA) satellites and rocket launch vehicles as listed on the Forum at NASASpaceFlight updated 20 December 2012:

2012

  • Complete
  • February 13 – LARES & ALMASat 1 & E-ST@R & Goliat & MaSat-1 & PW Sat 1 & Robusta & XaTcobeo & UniCubeSat GG – Vega (qualification flight)(VV01) – 10:00-12:00
  • March 23 – ATV-3 Edoardo Amaldi – Ariane 5 ES (VA205) – 04:34 UTC
  • May 15 – JCSAT 13 & Vinasat-2 – Ariane 5 ECA (VA206) – 22:13
  • July 5 – Echostar XVII / Jupiter 1 & MSG-3 – Ariane 5 ECA (VA207) – 21:36
  • August 2 – Intelsat 20 & HYLAS 2 – Ariane 5 ECA (VA208) – 20:54-21:51
  • September 28 – ASTRA 2F, GSAT 10 – Ariane 5 ECA (VA209) – 21:18
  • October 12 – Galileo-IOV (2 sats) – Soyuz-STB/Fregat-MT (VS03) – 18:15:01
  • November 10 – Eutelsat 21B/W6A, Star One C3 – Ariane 5 ECA (VA210) – 21:05
  • 09 – December 2 – Pléiades 1B – Soyuz-STA/Fregat (VS04) – 02:02:50
  • 10 – December 19 – Skynet-5D, Mexsat-3 – Ariane 5 ECA (VA211) – 21:49
  • Upcoming

2013

  • February 6 – Amazonas 3, Azerspace-1/Africasat-1a – Ariane 5 ECA (VA212)
  • April – Galileo-FOC (2 sats) – Soyuz-STB/Fregat-MT (or late Summer)
  • April 18 – ATV-4 Albert Einstein – Ariane 5 ES (VA213)
  • May – Proba-V, multiple auxiliary payloads – Vega (VV02)
  • May (TBD) – Alphasat I-XL/Inmarsat-XL – Ariane 5 ECA (VA214) (or second quarter)
  • late Spring – O3b (4 sats) – Soyuz-STB/Fregat-MT
  • June – INSAT 3D – Ariane 5 ECA (or second quarter)
  • une – GSAT 7 – Ariane 5 ECA (or second quarter)
  • midyear – ABS 2- Ariane 5 ECA
  • midyear – Eutelsat 25B/Eurobird 2A/Eshail – Ariane 5 ECA
  • midyear – Optus 10 – Ariane 5 ECA
  • midyear – O3b (4 sats) – Soyuz-STB/Fregat-MT
  • August – Galileo-FOC (2 sats) – Soyuz-STB/Fregat-MT (or Fall)
  • third quarter – Astra 5B – Ariane 5 ECA
  • September – Arsat 1 – Ariane 5 / Soyuz
  • October – Gaia – Soyuz-STB/Fregat-MT
  • October – Sentinel-1A – Soyuz-STB/Fregat-MT
  • November – Sicral-2 – Ariane 5 ECA
  • December – Galileo-FOC (2 sats) – Soyuz-STB/Fregat-MT

Updated 31 December 2012

2011 Launches